Washington Prepares To Fail In Ukraine

This chapter will not end well for President Biden or Washington’s political class.

By Douglas MacGregor

It’s an indisputable fact: Washington leads the world in self-delusion.

Washington’s political class is poised to march into a hurricane of its own making in Ukraine, a perfect storm of foreign- and defense-policy blunders likely to plunge the American people into future crises and conflicts. Having refused to acknowledge Russia’s vital strategic interest in Ukraine, Washington now wants to subject Ukraine and the NATO alliance to a dangerous and unnecessary test by confronting Russian conventional military power. In turn, Washington and its allies now face a test—one that they could have avoided but are now likely to fail. First, the facts.


The Biden administration is spending $768.2 billion for national defense. Russia spends only $42.1 billion, less than the $48 billion spent by the Republic of Korea. Yet Russian ground forces are superior in capability and striking power to the U.S. Army and Marines, even if both countries’ ground forces were able to deploy to Ukraine.

Russia’s conventional-ground-force superiority stems, in part, from the strategic advantage of fighting close to Russia. Its potency is also a reflection of President Vladimir Putin’s insistence on fundamental defense reform and reorganization. The reform process involved years of struggle to expel old generals who resisted change and install new, resolute fighting forces, composed of young, single men with a profound sense of Russian patriotism and toughness. The policy has resulted in an operationally flexible grouping of smaller capability-based Russian fighting formations, designed to ruthlessly exploit the striking power of Russia’s rocket artillery, tactical ballistic missiles, and loitering munitions.

Far to the west and behind the Polish border sits an awkward collection of U.S. Army and NATO Ground Forces that, despite decades of cooperation, are still challenged to fight effectively as one force. In the last 20 years of operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, most of America’s allies seldom had anything to contribute to our efforts, save a flag and inexperienced troops who were forced to operate under political restrictions. Thus, like the U.S. Army that leads them, the allied ground forces cling to the illusion that NATO can fight future conflicts on land the way Anglo-American allies did during World War II—with large, densely packed divisions, corps, and armies. These are lucrative targets for Russian strike formations.

Additionally, institutional policies to impose diversity and inclusion on the U.S. Armed Forces at the expense of demonstrated character, competence, and intelligence, demoralize our troops. As a result, the dedication, cohesion, and pride of achievement required to sustain America’s professional fighting force have been seriously damaged.

The implications are clear: A U.S.-Russian confrontation in Eastern Ukraine could easily resemble the 1940 Anglo-French experience, with the Wehrmacht provoking a serious backlash at home. Supply-chain bottlenecks, consumer-goods inflation, and soaring energy costs could all worsen if events in Ukraine spiral out of control. As more and more Americans wake up to falling standards of living, how will they react to yet another war for suspicious aims that have absolutely nothing to do with their own vital strategic interests, and make their daily lives even harder?

Reality is sitting on Ukraine’s eastern border, not in the South China Sea or in the strait of Taiwan, and there is ostensibly nothing Washington can do about it. The questions that should concern Washington’s political class are: Will NATO survive its ignominious retreat in the face of superior Russian military power? And, why is Washington conducting policy not from strength, but from weakness—a weakness thus far disguised by the outward show of military power against weak opponents without armies, air defenses, or air forces?

Nietzsche said, “War makes the victor stupid.” After 1991, America’s senior military and political leaders found many reasons to spend enormous sums on defense, but no reason to change the way U.S. forces fight, or to devise a national military strategy tied to tangible, concrete interests and the preservation of American national power.

As John Kenneth Galbraith warned, “People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage. Intellectual myopia, often called stupidity, is no doubt a reason. But the privileged also feel that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, basic, God-given right.”

Washington’s corrupt and morally bankrupt leaders are walking into a minefield. If they embroil U.S. and allied forces in Ukraine, extraordinary discontent at home and abroad awaits them. However, like so many privileged classes before them, the Biden administration may prefer “complete destruction” rather than acknowledge that its most cherished beliefs are utter delusions. It’s safe to say that whatever happens in Ukraine, this chapter will not end well for President Biden or Washington’s political class.

Douglas Macgregor, Col. (ret.) is a senior fellow with The American Conservative, the former advisor to the Secretary of Defense in the Trump administration, a decorated combat veteran, and the author of five books.

Source: https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/washington-prepares-to-fail-in-ukraine/

The Cassandra forecast: Biden’s 2022 global war

BY GRADY MEANS, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR

December has arrived and it’s time to forecast 2022. I’ll start the ball rolling by framing the most gloomy scenario: 2022 could mark the end of the world, via global war and nuclear exchanges.

Most Americans will find that forecast surprising and offensive. We tend to be optimistic Bayesians: If the sun rose today, certainly it will rise the same way tomorrow. But unfortunately, there are “Black Swan” events — unexpected shocks to the system that totally change the future.

And today we confront two Black Swans — Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping. Both are brilliant, experienced leaders. Putin has written extensively on his vision for Russia — for example, his Millennium Papers and his “PhD” dissertation on energy economics. Xi is similar. Both have consolidated power within brutal systems. Both are committed nationalists who see themselves as major historical figures. Both are men of action, willing to take large, calculated risks. And both likely understand that 2022 is the year they must act.




Putin is dedicated to the defense and rise of Russia. He seeks strategic territorial expansion, the destruction of NATO, and eventual political hegemony over Europe. The coming year could be the key stepping stone for his dreams. A first step would be invading Ukraine, giving Russia an economic boost and consolidating Black Sea strategic access. Russian troops are already massing on the border.

Xi envisions political hegemony over East Asia (and beyond). The next step would be the invasion and conquest of Taiwan, where he is upping military pressure. At the same time, Iran and its leaders dream of destroying Israel and gaining Middle East hegemony.

All of them recently have engaged in joint war games and all may be coming to believe that 2022 is their once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. The reason: President Biden.


New U.S. presidential administrations are always tested by global adversaries in the first year. The Biden administration failed miserably with the Chinese in Anchorage, with the Russians in Geneva, with Hamas after bribing them to cease their rocket attacks on Israel, with the world in Glasgow, and with Xi Jinping on a recent video-call.

The U.S. military displayed an astounding lack of leadership and judgment in the withdrawal from Afghanistan. Everyone has seen Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, Gen. Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and national security adviser Jake Sullivan in action.

Biden has destroyed American energy independence and endangered national security by making America dependent on foreign oil. He has failed miserably to deal with COVID and has been afraid to aggressively pursue the political dynamite of its origin, or whether it or its variants were released intentionally. The American media have ignored or excused these failures.

U.S. defense, intelligence and justice systems have been politicized. Congressional Intelligence and Armed Services committees have been corrupted, manufacturing now-exposed fictions such as the Trump-Russia hoax. Politics has been polarized by woke-ism, racial tension, climate change and Donald Trump.


America is at its weakest politically in decades. Our enemies have seen all they need to see. They will act before the American political equation changes next November. Winter is coming and that often is the time to attack.

Americans are always shocked when our enemies act. But Russia’s Putin and China’s Xi know that, to become true historical figures, they must act when the time is right. The problem for America is that our enemies may well act together.

Russia may launch an attack and invasion of Ukraine simultaneous with a coup attempt. To keep NATO off balance, Russia would reduce winter gas and oil shipments to Europe, which gets 30 percent of its oil and 40 percent of its gas from Russia. The U.S. cannot help Europe through emergency liquified natural gas or oil shipments, thanks to Biden.

China could simultaneously launch an invasion of Taiwan. Iran, through its Hezbollah and Hamas proxies, could launch an all-out assault on Israel and slow oil flowing through the Straits of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia could reduce or fully cut oil supplies to the U.S. and Europe — the Saudis made it clear during the start of the COVID pandemic, and more recently during America’s oil price spike, that they are not a true ally.

When the dust clears, Russia would control Ukraine, China would control Taiwan, Israel would be weakened, NATO would be staggered, and America’s military and world leadership status would be permanently diminished.


Except for the wild cards.

First among the wild cards is Biden. After globally advertising their advanced nuclear strategic delivery capability over the past year, our enemies may miscalculate that Biden would hesitate to respond. But, caught off guard and strategically weakened, Biden and his defense team might overreact to “prove” themselves. That would involve some direct action against China or Russia, or both. That is potentially a straight line to nuclear exchange.

From the Cold War to a hard freeze
Sunday shows preview: Officials, experts respond to omicron; Biden…
North Korea might decide, with America distracted, to launch a conventional, chemical or nuclear attack on South Korea. Israel, under an existential threat, might launch an all-out attack on Iran. Pakistan and India might decide that a distracted world is the time to settle their differences. An attack on Taiwan might bring in Japan. Boom.

The one thing that could stand in the way of these catastrophes is a brilliant, strong, capable and decisive White House — which, in 2022, will not be the case. Holiday greetings: DEFCON 2.

Grady Means is a writer (GradyMeans.com) and former corporate strategy consultant. He served in the White House as a policy assistant to Vice President Nelson Rockefeller. Follow him on Twitter @gradymeans1.

Source: https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/584032-the-cassandra-forecast-bidens-2022-global-war

World War Three Approaches… Watch The Events in Ukraine and Taiwan.

Russian military vehicles with ‘invasion stripes’ descend on Ukraine border
By Jesse O’NeillApril 15, 2021 | 12:28am | Updated
Russian military vehicles with ‘invasion stripes’ descend on Ukraine border



More than 100,000 Russian troops in assault vehicles painted with “invasion stripes” were headed to Ukraine’s border Wednesday, intensifying fears of war between the neighboring nations.

The advancing force includes 1,300 battle tanks, 3,700 drones, 1,300 artillery and mortar units and 380 multiple launch rocket systems, according to documents leaked to the Daily Mirror.

Enlarge ImageRussian tanks sit on Russian-Ukrainian borderline on April 6, 2021.
Russian tanks sit on the Russia-Ukraine border on April 6, 2021.
Reuters
Tensions between the countries have been escalating following Russia’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea territory in 2014, an attempt by Moscow to keep NATO away from its borders. Ukraine is not a member of NATO, but support for the organization has risen in recent years, and the country is allied with many NATO nations — including the US.

Kyiv has claimed 14,000 people have died in the ongoing conflict, and many fear that Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that the COVID-19 pandemic is the right time to attack and control large parts of the country, according to the report.

President Biden made it clear that repercussions against Vladimir Putin and his country for their interference with U.S. policies.


President Biden made it clear that repercussions are planned against Vladimir Putin and his country for their interference with US policies.
SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images
The appearance of painted stripes on Russian armored vehicles headed to the front lines reminded military experts of similar stripes on tanks used by the Soviet army during the 1968 invasion of Czechoslovakia, the Mirror reports. The stripes are used as a deterrent to friendly fire.

The Russian armored vehicles headed to the frontlines reminded military experts of tanks used by the Soviet Army during the 1968 invasion of Czechoslovakia.
The Russian armored vehicles headed to the front lines reminded military experts of tanks used by the Soviet army during the 1968 invasion of Czechoslovakia.
@tiimoooshka; TikTok
The military exercise could also be seen as a challenge to the US, as President Biden is expected to impose sanctions against Russia for election interference, hacking and bounties on troops in Afghanistan.

Warships of the Russian navy’s Caspian Sea flotilla sailing on the waters that separate Russia and Ukraine on April 13, 2021.
Warships of the Russian navy’s Caspian Sea flotilla sail on the waters that separate Russia and Ukraine on April 13, 2021.
Russian Defence Ministry/AFP


A tank is deployed in Russia
A tank is deployed as tensions rise between Russia and Ukraine.
Rossiya1
The Biden administration has sent warships to the Black Sea to defend against the military buildup, and Russia has warned the US to stand down.

The Kremlin has claimed it is offering protection to pro-Russian citizens in East Ukraine, warning of a return of “Nazi Europe,” according to the article.


A Ukrainian serviceman walks along a trench at a position on the front line with Russia-backed separatists near Gorlivka, Donetsk region

Source: https://nypost.com/2021/04/15/russian-military-vehicles-descend-on-ukraine-border/

As We Speak..

Source: Show Notes for Marfoogle News
https://marfooglenews.com/2021/04/15/as-we-speak/

Russia has announced that it’s closing the strategic Kerch Strait until October under guise of military exercise.
This effectively closes the Ukrainian ports of Mariupol and Berdyansk to traffic.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine is pissed
“Such actions of the Russian Federation are yet another attempt, in violation of the norms and principles of international law, to usurp the sovereign rights of Ukraine as a coastal state, since it is Ukraine that has the right to regulate shipping in these waters of the Black Sea,” the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry

МИД Украины протестует в связи с ограничением РФ свободы судоходства в Черном море
МИД Украины протестует в связи с ограничением РФ свободы судоходства в Черном море
Министерство иностранных дел Украины выражает решительный протест в связи с объявлением РФ…


The Biden administration targeted Russia with sweeping sanctions and diplomatic expulsions Thursday, punishing Moscow for its interference in the 2020 US election, its SolarWinds cyberattack and its ongoing occupation and “severe human rights abuses” in Crimea.

Biden imposes new sanctions on Russia in response to election interference and cyber hacks – CNN Politics

The Biden administration targeted Russia with sweeping sanctions and diplomatic expulsions…
Joe Biden declares national emergency with regard to Russia in a letter to congress over Crimea and Ukrain (and election meddling)

Biden declares national emergency at Ukraine-Russia border — but calls back US warships

The Biden administration declared a national emergency on Thursday, slapping sanctions on …


UK summons Russian ambassador over ‘malign behaviour’ and Ukraine

Britain’s foreign ministry said it summoned Russia’s ambassador on Thursday to express its concern about “malign behaviour” by the Russian state and show London’s support for actions announced earlier in the day by U.S. President Joe Biden.

UK summons Russian ambassador over ‘malign behaviour’ and Ukraine | Reuters

Britain’s foreign ministry said it summoned Russia’s ambassador on Thursday to express its…
Poland has expelled three Russian diplomats in relation to cyber-attacks carried out on the United States by the Russian Federation.
The news of the expulsions came after the Russian ambassador was summoned to a meeting at the Polish Foreign Ministry on Thursday.

Poland expels three Russian diplomats over cyber attacks

Poland expels three Russian diplomats over cyber attacks
Poland has expelled three Russian diplomats in relation to cyber-attacks carried out on th…
Biden to deliver a speech at 4:30 ET 1:30 PT about Russia

Biden to deliver remarks on Russia at 4:30 p.m./2030 GMT
Biden to deliver remarks on Russia at 4:30 p.m./2030 GMT
U.S. President Joe Biden will deliver remarks on Russia at 4:30 p.m./2030 GMT on Thursday …
Ukraine will consider arming itself with nuclear weapons if it does not become a member of the NATO military alliance, the Ukrainian ambassador to Germany said.
“Either we are part of an alliance like NATO and contribute in this way to making Europe stronger … or we are left with the other option, which is to arm ourselves,” Ambassador Andriy Melnyk told Deutschlandfunk radio Thursday.

Ukraine mulls nuclear arms if NATO membership not impending: envoy
Ukraine will consider arming itself with nuclear weapons if it does not become a member of…
Russia says Moscow will respond to U.S. sanctions, summons U.S. envoy
Russia’s foreign ministry said on Thursday it was “unavoidable” that Moscow would respond to new U.S. sanctions and that it had called in Washington’s ambassador in Moscow for “tough talks”.

Russia says Moscow will respond to U.S. sanctions, summons U.S. envoy

Taiwan tells Biden emissaries it will counter China’s ‘adventurous manoeuvres’ with U.S
Yimou Lee
Thu, April 15, 2021, 12:47 PM·2 min read

Source:https://news.yahoo.com/taiwans-tsai-says-chinas-military-024712084.html

Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen gives a speech after visiting the Navy’s 131st Fleet in Keelung

By Yimou Lee

TAIPEI (Reuters) – Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen told emissaries visiting at U.S. President Joe Biden’s request on Thursday that the island would work with the United States to deter threats from Chinese military activities.

Former senior U.S. officials, including former U.S. Senator Chris Dodd and former Deputy Secretaries of State Richard Armitage and James Steinberg, are visiting Taipei in a trip to signal Biden’s commitment to Taiwan and its democracy.

Tsai told the U.S. delegation in a meeting at the Presidential Office that Chinese military activities in the region have threatened regional peace and stability.

“We are very willing to work with like-minded countries, including the United States, to jointly safeguard the peace and stability of the Indo-Pacific and deter adventurous manoeuvres and provocations,” Tsai said.

She vowed to continue to cooperate with the United States to counter “cognitive warfare” and misinformation, but did not elaborate.

Dodd told Tsai the Biden administration would be Taiwan’s “reliable, trusted friend,” which will help the island expand its international space and support its investment in self defence.

He added the U.S. partnership with Taiwan is “stronger than ever” and that the visit was to reaffirm Biden’s commitment to the island.

Tsai also told the delegation that Taiwan looks forward to resuming trade talks with the United States as soon as possible. Taipei has long sought a free trade deal with Washington.

Dan Biers, director of the State Department’s Office of Taiwan Coordination, is also part of the delegation.

Taiwan is China’s most sensitive territorial issue and a major source of contention with Washington, which is required by U.S. law to provide the island with the means to defend itself.

Taiwan has complained over the last few months about almost daily missions by China’s air force near its air defence identification zone (ADIZ). Twenty-five Chinese aircraft, including fighters and nuclear-capable bombers, entered Taiwan’s ADIZ on Monday in the largest reported incursion to date.

China announced on Wednesday it would begin five days of live-fire drills off a part of its coast facing Taiwan, which Taiwan’s Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng told reporters the country would pay close attention to.

“There’s some psychological impact, but don’t get too worked up about this. Everyone should have confidence in the armed forces,” he said.

Chiu will meet with the visiting Americans, his deputy Chang Che-ping told lawmakers.

The unofficial U.S. visit, which a White House official called a “personal signal” of the president’s commitment to Chinese-claimed Taiwan, is further straining Sino-U.S. relations.

China on Wednesday described its military exercises near Taiwan as “combat drills” and said the meeting of the U.S. officials with Tsai “will only exacerbate the tense situation in the Taiwan Strait”.

(Reporting by Yimou Lee; Additional reporting by Ben Blanchard; Editing by Gerry Doyle)

The China Visions: Online Church for Christ Prophetic Dream in Response to YouTube Presentation.

By The Moderator.

‘The China Visions: Keep your lamps lit!’ is a YouTube presentation by Hope Owens who details prophetic dreams concerning current end time events. It can be found here: https://youtu.be/gyQxPEwdyX4

After viewing this video, I asked the Lord for more information. Prior to sleep, in my mind’s eye, I saw a metallic scroll in bronze or gold, etched in a language and symbols that I did not recognise. Shortly afterwards, my dream revealed a world of darkness – when I walked away from my home there were no lights around me nor in the sky above. The friends and family in my home were subdued and I had the impression that the population had been reduced. Upon waking, I asked the Lord when this would happen. The image I saw was a “3”. I am unsure whether this is in days, weeks, months or years. I also heard (somehow), “Brace yourself”. This is unusual because I have asked for signs and messages from the Lord many times previoisly and this rarely happens. Let us trust in Jesus and pray that we will be in his presence soon. 🙏